Current Odds
Live odds across venues for Balance of Power 2026 Midterms. "Average" is the simple cross-venue mean.
Row High
| Outcome | KALSHI | POLYMARKET | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| D-House, D-Senate | 61.0% | 62.0% | 61.5% |
| D-House, R-Senate | 31.0% | 30.0% | 30.5% |
| R-House, R-Senate | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| R-House, D-Senate | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Other | — | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Arb Scanner (Pairs)
Buy @ lower venue and sell @ higher venue for the same outcome. "Actionable" shows if Kalshi ↔ Polymarket arb is profitable after fees.
| Outcome | Pair | Leg A | Leg B | Spread | After Fees | Actionable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R-House, R-Senate | KALSHIPOLYMARKET | YES9.0%POLYMARKET | NO90.0%KALSHI | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | — |
R-House, R-Senate
KALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES9.0%POLYMARKET
Leg B:NO90.0%KALSHI
Spread (¢):1.0¢After Fees (¢):0.0¢