Current Odds
Live odds across venues for Balance of Power 2026 Midterms. "Average" is the simple cross-venue mean.
Row High
| Outcome | KALSHI | POLYMARKET | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| D-House, D-Senate | 42.0% | 42.0% | 42.0% |
| D-House, R-Senate | 31.0% | 34.0% | 32.5% |
| R-House, R-Senate | 28.0% | 22.0% | 25.0% |
| R-House, D-Senate | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Other | — | 0.7% | 0.7% |
Arb Scanner (Pairs)
Buy @ lower venue and sell @ higher venue for the same outcome. "Actionable" shows if Kalshi ↔ Polymarket arb is profitable after fees.
| Outcome | Pair | Leg A | Leg B | Spread | After Fees | Actionable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R-House, R-Senate | KALSHIPOLYMARKET | YES22.0%POLYMARKET | NO73.0%KALSHI | 5.0¢ | +3.0¢ | Yes |
| D-House, R-Senate | KALSHIPOLYMARKET | YES31.0%KALSHI | NO67.0%POLYMARKET | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | — |
R-House, R-Senate
ActionableKALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES22.0%POLYMARKET
Leg B:NO73.0%KALSHI
Spread (¢):5.0¢After Fees (¢):+3.0¢
D-House, R-Senate
KALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES31.0%KALSHI
Leg B:NO67.0%POLYMARKET
Spread (¢):2.0¢After Fees (¢):0.0¢