Current Odds
Live odds across venues for Balance of Power 2026 Midterms. "Average" is the simple cross-venue mean.
Row High
| Outcome | KALSHI | POLYMARKET | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| D-House, D-Senate | 48.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% |
| D-House, R-Senate | 39.0% | 38.0% | 38.5% |
| R-House, R-Senate | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% |
| R-House, D-Senate | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Other | — | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Arb Scanner (Pairs)
Buy @ lower venue and sell @ higher venue for the same outcome. "Actionable" shows if Kalshi ↔ Polymarket arb is profitable after fees.
| Outcome | Pair | Leg A | Leg B | Spread | After Fees | Actionable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D-House, D-Senate | KALSHIPOLYMARKET | YES48.0%KALSHI | NO51.0%POLYMARKET | 1.0¢ | -1.0¢ | — |
D-House, D-Senate
KALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES48.0%KALSHI
Leg B:NO51.0%POLYMARKET
Spread (¢):1.0¢After Fees (¢):-1.0¢