13 Events

FIFA World Cup

Track live prediction market odds for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. View the average odds from Kalshi and Polymarket for tournament winner, group stage outcomes, and find real trading opportunities.

Live
๐Ÿ†Tournament Winner
Favorite
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
Spain
17%
probability to win
Runner Up
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
England
14%
probability to win
Other Contenders
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท13%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท11%
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท10%
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น8%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช7%
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ4%
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด3%
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ3%

Group Stage

Projected winners for each group

Group A

1๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝMexico54%
2๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ทKorea Republic25%
3๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ชIreland22%
4๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐDenmark15%

Group B

1๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นItaly50%
2๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญSwitzerland44%
3๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟWales23%
4๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆCanada18%

Group C

1๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ทBrazil79%
2๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆMorocco18%
3๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟScotland9%
4๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡นHaiti3%

Group D

1๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUSA50%
2๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทTurkiye28%
3๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡พParaguay24%
4๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐSlovakia12%

Group E

1๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชGermany73%
2๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡จEcuador22%
3๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎIvory Coast11%
4๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ผCuracao3%

Group F

1๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑNetherlands56%
2๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตJapan27%
3๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ชSweden23%
4๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑPoland22%

Group G

1๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ชBelgium74%
2๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌEgypt20%
3๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIR Iran17%
4๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟNew Zealand8%

Group H

1๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธSpain84%
2๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡พUruguay18%
3๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆSaudi Arabia4%
4๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ปCape Verde3%

Group I

1๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทFrance71%
2๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ดNorway28%
3๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณSenegal10%
4๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถIraq8%

Group J

1๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ทArgentina80%
2๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡นAustria17%
3๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟAlgeria10%
4๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ดJordan2%

Group K

1๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡นPortugal66%
2๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ดColombia30%
3๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฟUzbekistan10%
4๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ฒJamaica9%

Group L

1๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟEngland71%
2๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ทCroatia22%
3๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ญGhana18%
4๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆPanama6%
๐ŸŒŽ
Host Countries
USA ยท Canada ยท Mexico
๐Ÿ“…
Tournament Dates
June 11 โ€“ July 19, 2026
๐ŸŸ๏ธ
Teams
48 Nations ยท 12 Groups

Find Arbitrage Opportunities Instantly

Every day youโ€™re not checking Oddpool, youโ€™re missing profitable spreads. Our scanner monitors Kalshi & Polymarket around the clock, auto-calculates after-fee edge, and surfaces only real, tradable arbitrage โ€” not noise. Open the scanner and see what youโ€™ve been missing.

Understanding the Data

Key insights and explanations for market participants

What does the FIFA World Cup 2026 dashboard show?

The FIFA World Cup 2026 dashboard displays live prediction market odds from both Kalshi and Polymarket for all World Cup markets. You can view win probabilities for the overall tournament winner, projected group winners across all 12 groups (A through L), and click into individual markets for more detailed data including historical odds. This dashboard is updated in real-time as trades occur, giving you the most current market sentiment for the biggest soccer tournament in the world. For other major sports prediction markets, see our NFL Weekly and NHL Stanley Cup dashboards.

How are FIFA World Cup prediction market odds calculated?

In prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, each team's chances of winning the World Cup (or their group) are represented by YES/NO contracts. The price of a YES contract reflects the market-implied probability of that outcome. For example, if Brazil is trading at 0.15, that indicates a 15% chance of them winning the tournament according to market participants. These odds are purely driven by supply and demand - as traders buy contracts on their favored teams, prices move to reflect the aggregate wisdom of the market. Unlike traditional bookmakers, prediction markets don't have a house edge built into the odds, making them a transparent way to gauge genuine market sentiment.

When is the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. This will be the first World Cup with 48 teams (expanded from 32), organized into 12 groups of 4 teams each. The group stage runs through June 26, with knockout rounds beginning shortly after. Oddpool's prediction market tracker will follow odds throughout the entire tournament, from the opening match to the final.

What makes World Cup prediction markets different from traditional sports betting?

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket differ from traditional sportsbooks in several key ways:

1) Prices are set purely by supply and demand, not by oddsmakers.

2) Markets trade continuously, so odds update in real-time based on news, injuries, and sentiment.

3) Both platforms are regulated (Kalshi by the CFTC, Polymarket operates on blockchain).

4) There's no vig or house edge - you're trading against other participants. This makes prediction markets particularly interesting for major events like the World Cup, where global sentiment creates deep liquidity and efficient price discovery.