FIFA World Cup

The FIFA World Cup 2026 dashboard displays live prediction market odds from both Kalshi and Polymarket for all World Cup markets. You can view win probabilities for the overall tournament winner, projected group winners across all 12 groups (A through L), and click into individual markets for more detailed data including historical odds. This dashboard is updated in real-time as trades occur, giving you the most current market sentiment for the biggest soccer tournament in the world. For other major sports prediction markets, see our NFL Weekly and NHL Stanley Cup dashboards.

In prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, each team's chances of winning the World Cup (or their group) are represented by YES/NO contracts. The price of a YES contract reflects the market-implied probability of that outcome. For example, if Brazil is trading at 0.15, that indicates a 15% chance of them winning the tournament according to market participants. These odds are purely driven by supply and demand - as traders buy contracts on their favored teams, prices move to reflect the aggregate wisdom of the market. Unlike traditional bookmakers, prediction markets don't have a house edge built into the odds, making them a transparent way to gauge genuine market sentiment.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. This will be the first World Cup with 48 teams (expanded from 32), organized into 12 groups of 4 teams each. The group stage runs through June 26, with knockout rounds beginning shortly after. Oddpool's prediction market tracker will follow odds throughout the entire tournament, from the opening match to the final.

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket differ from traditional sportsbooks in several key ways:

1) Prices are set purely by supply and demand, not by oddsmakers.

2) Markets trade continuously, so odds update in real-time based on news, injuries, and sentiment.

3) Both platforms are regulated (Kalshi by the CFTC, Polymarket operates on blockchain).

4) There's no vig or house edge - you're trading against other participants. This makes prediction markets particularly interesting for major events like the World Cup, where global sentiment creates deep liquidity and efficient price discovery.