NBA Champion 2026

NBA Champion

Track live NBA Champion 2026 odds across Kalshi and Polymarket. Compare probabilities, spreads, and actionable arbs in real time. Use Oddpool to trade smarter.

Live

Largest Spread Now

+2.3ppGolden State Warriors

KALSHIPOLYMARKETYES @ POLYMARKET + NO @ KALSHI

Live Spreads ≥ 1.0pp

7

K↔P pairs · 3 actionable

Consensus Favorite

Oklahoma City Thunder

Average: 38.0% across venues

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Current Odds

Live odds across venues for NBA Champion 2026. "Average" is the simple cross-venue mean.

OutcomeKALSHIPOLYMARKETAverage
Atlanta Hawks2.0%1.3%1.6%
Boston Celtics2.0%1.1%1.6%
Brooklyn Nets1.0%0.4%0.7%
Charlotte Hornets1.0%0.5%0.8%
Chicago Bulls1.0%0.8%0.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers8.0%7.4%7.7%
Dallas Mavericks1.0%0.8%0.9%
Denver Nuggets13.0%12.0%12.5%
Detroit Pistons5.0%3.2%4.1%
Golden State Warriors5.0%2.7%3.9%
Houston Rockets8.0%8.0%8.0%
Indiana Pacers1.0%0.5%0.8%
Los Angeles Clippers2.0%1.0%1.5%
Los Angeles Lakers7.0%6.3%6.7%
Memphis Grizzlies1.0%0.6%0.8%
Miami Heat2.0%1.7%1.9%
Milwaukee Bucks2.0%1.3%1.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves3.0%2.5%2.8%
New Orleans Pelicans1.0%0.4%0.7%
New York Knicks5.0%5.0%5.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder39.0%37.0%38.0%
Orlando Magic3.0%2.4%2.7%
Philadelphia 76ers3.0%1.4%2.2%
Phoenix Suns1.0%0.9%0.9%
Portland Trail Blazers1.0%0.6%0.8%
Sacramento Kings1.0%0.5%0.8%
San Antonio Spurs4.0%2.6%3.3%
Toronto Raptors2.0%2.1%2.0%
Utah Jazz1.0%0.5%0.8%
Washington Wizards1.0%0.5%0.8%

Arb Scanner (Pairs)

Buy @ lower venue and sell @ higher venue for the same outcome. "Actionable" shows if Kalshi ↔ Polymarket arb is profitable after fees.

Golden State Warriors

Actionable
KALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES2.7%POLYMARKET
Leg B:NO96.0%KALSHI
Spread (¢):1.3¢After Fees (¢):+0.3¢

Philadelphia 76ers

KALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES1.4%POLYMARKET
Leg B:NO98.0%KALSHI
Spread (¢):0.6¢After Fees (¢):-0.4¢

San Antonio Spurs

KALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES2.6%POLYMARKET
Leg B:NO97.0%KALSHI
Spread (¢):0.4¢After Fees (¢):-0.6¢

NBA Standings

Current standings for the 2025-26 season

Eastern Conference

TeamRecordHomeAwayStreak
1
Detroit Pistons
DET
14-2
87.5%
7-16-1W12
2
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLE
11-6
64.7%
7-34-3W1
3
Toronto Raptors
TOR
11-5
68.8%
4-27-3W6
4
Miami Heat
MIA
11-6
64.7%
7-14-5W4
5
Atlanta Hawks
ATL
10-7
58.8%
2-48-3W1
6
Orlando Magic
ORL
10-7
58.8%
7-33-4W3
7
Philadelphia 76ers
PHI
9-7
56.3%
5-44-3L1
8
New York Knicks
NY
9-6
60.0%
8-11-5L1
9
Chicago Bulls
CHI
9-7
56.3%
6-23-5W1
10
Boston Celtics
BOS
8-8
50.0%
4-44-4L1
11
Milwaukee Bucks
MIL
8-9
47.1%
5-53-4L4
12
Charlotte Hornets
CHA
4-12
25.0%
3-51-7L5
13
Brooklyn Nets
BKN
3-12
20.0%
0-73-5W1
14
Indiana Pacers
IND
2-14
12.5%
2-50-9L1
15
Washington Wizards
WSH
1-15
6.3%
0-61-9L14

Western Conference

TeamRecordHomeAwayStreak
1
Oklahoma City Thunder
OKC
16-1
94.1%
7-09-1W8
2
Denver Nuggets
DEN
12-4
75.0%
6-26-2L1
3
San Antonio Spurs
SA
11-4
73.3%
8-23-2W3
4
Los Angeles Lakers
LAL
11-4
73.3%
4-27-2W3
5
Phoenix Suns
PHX
10-6
62.5%
7-23-4W2
6
Minnesota Timberwolves
MIN
10-6
62.5%
5-35-3L1
7
Houston Rockets
HOU
10-4
71.4%
5-25-2L1
8
Golden State Warriors
GS
9-9
50.0%
5-14-8L3
9
Portland Trail Blazers
POR
7-9
43.8%
3-44-5W1
10
Memphis Grizzlies
MEM
6-11
35.3%
4-52-6W2
11
Dallas Mavericks
DAL
5-13
27.8%
4-91-3L1
12
LA Clippers
LAC
5-11
31.3%
3-52-6W1
13
Utah Jazz
UTAH
5-10
33.3%
4-41-6L2
14
Sacramento Kings
SAC
4-13
23.5%
2-52-8W1
15
New Orleans Pelicans
NO
2-15
11.8%
1-81-7L9

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Understanding the Data

Key insights and explanations for market participants

What does the NBA Champion 2026 dashboard track?

The NBA Champion in 2026 dashboard from Oddpool tracks the real-time prediction market odds for every team in the league’s chance at winning the championship. Rather than giving you vague futures odds or model projections, our dashboard shows the live market-implied probabilities for who will win the 2026 NBA title, using data from Kalshi and Polymarket directly. By aggregating the YES and NO prices for every team, our NBA Champion in 2026 dashboard makes it easy to see consensus favorites, outlier pricing, and find markets which are misaligned. We also pull in live volume data for Kalshi and Polymarket and the latest NBA conference standings so all your trading signals are aggregated in a single view.

How do prediction market odds differ from sportsbook odds?

Traditional sportsbooks do not show true probabilities in the same way that prediction markets do. The odds on a sportsbook are shaped by many factors such as house margin, how muh money is coming in on each side, and how they want to balance their risk. Therefore, even if a sportsbook lists a team at something that looks like “20%”, it can not be interpreted that simply because the number has been padded and adjusted for in ways you cannot see.

On the other hand, prediction markets work in a much simpler, more transparent way. Since everything is a YES/NO contract that must settle at either $1 or $0, the trading price basically is the probability. If a given team is trading at 37¢, the market implied probability indicates people believe that team has a 37% chance of winning the title. Unlike a sportsbook, there’s no house edge built into that number and no hidden adjustment.

Why are prices different between Kalshi and Polymarket for NBA Champion in 2026?

Both Kalshi and Polymarket has their own distinct liquidity, trader base, and fee structures which can help to explain price differences between the two markets. When the prices diverge by a significant margin for the same outcome, Oddpool automatically flags it and displays the potential arbitrage opportunity. Such pricing divergences can be the result of genuine sentiment differences between the platforms or simply short-lived pricing inefficiencies. While such opportunities may not occur often when only looking at the NBA Champion in 2026 market, taking a macro view across all events on Kalshi and Polymarket with the Oddpool Arbitrage Dashboard can reveal a much wider range of opportunities.

Why does Oddpool show both market odds and team performance metrics together?

We choose to aggregate multiple data sources for our NBA Champion in 2026 dashboard because prediction markets don’t always move in lockstep with in game results. A team can climb the standings without seeing a corresponding jump in market-implied title odds, and the reverse can also happen when traders price in future roster moves, injuries, or playoff matchups. By pairing market probabilities with live NBA standings and recent streaks, the dashboard makes it easy to identify where sentiment diverges from performance. These sentiment versus reality gaps are the same dynamics traders analyze on our other dashboards, whether it's predicting the Fed Rate, forecasting the price of Bitcoin, or guessing the Superbowl winner.