Current Odds
Live odds across venues for Satoshi Moves Bitcoin in 2026. "Average" is the simple cross-venue mean.
Row High
| Outcome | KALSHI | POLYMARKET | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% |
Arb Scanner (Pairs)
Buy @ lower venue and sell @ higher venue for the same outcome. "Actionable" shows if Kalshi ↔ Polymarket arb is profitable after fees.
| Outcome | Pair | Leg A | Leg B | Spread | After Fees | Actionable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | KALSHIPOLYMARKET | YES3.2%POLYMARKET | NO96.0%KALSHI | 0.8¢ | -0.2¢ | — |
Before 2027
KALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES3.2%POLYMARKET
Leg B:NO96.0%KALSHI
Spread (¢):0.8¢After Fees (¢):-0.2¢