Current Odds
Live odds across venues for Satoshi Moves Bitcoin in 2026. "Average" is the simple cross-venue mean.
Row High
| Outcome | KALSHI | OPINION | POLYMARKET | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
Arb Scanner (Pairs)
Buy @ lower venue and sell @ higher venue for the same outcome. "Actionable" shows if Kalshi ↔ Polymarket arb is profitable after fees.
| Outcome | Pair | Leg A | Leg B | Spread | After Fees | Actionable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | KALSHIPOLYMARKET | YES7.0%KALSHI | NO91.5%POLYMARKET | 1.5¢ | +0.5¢ | Yes |
Before 2027
ActionableKALSHIPOLYMARKET
Leg A:YES7.0%KALSHI
Leg B:NO91.5%POLYMARKET
Spread (¢):1.5¢After Fees (¢):+0.5¢